The concept of a “technological singularity,” often defined as the point at which artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence and triggers rapid technological growth, has been the subject of much speculation and discussion among scientists, futurists, and the general public. Many experts believe that we are rapidly approaching this milestone, while others are more skeptical about the feasibility and timeline of such an event.
This year, AI has become more accessible to the public and the development of AI has been greatly aided by contributions from the general public through open source projects. As a result, the timeline for the technological singularity is looking much closer, with 2022 seeing a significant explosion in AI research and open source AI development.
So when Technological Singularity will happen?
Predicting the exact timeline for the technological singularity is a difficult task, as it depends on a number of variables including the advancement of artificial intelligence, the complexity of human intelligence, and the limitations of current computing hardware.
One way to gauge the proximity of the technological singularity is to consider the growth of artificial intelligence and how close it is to surpassing human intelligence.
In recent years, we have seen significant progress in the field of AI, with the development of self-driving cars, facial recognition software, diffusion-based image generation, video generators, advanced language AI modals that can program as well as answer science and math problems, AI that solves difficult science problems like genome editing and protein folding, and other advanced technologies. While these technologies are still limited in some of their capabilities and are not yet on par with human intelligence in some areas, they represent a significant step towards the singularity.
Another factor to consider is the rate at which AI is advancing. If the rate of progress continues at its current pace or accelerates, it is possible that we could see the technological singularity in the relatively near future. However, if progress slows down or encounters significant obstacles like technophobia, political instability, and restrictions, the timeline for the singularity may be further off.
So the most optimistic answer would be 2050 to 2070. This may seem like a long time, but you also have to consider many of the new problems it will create, especially things like human-AI conflict, human insecurity, and other similar things.